Centro funzionale Regione Abruzzo - Centro di Eccellenza Cetemps
For each case study a quick description of ground effects and possible damages is reported including a link to the reports of Civil Protection authorities (if available).
The skills for precipitation scenarios prediction and flood alert indeces for each algorithm are also given with the following acronyms:
  • Stress Area Localization (C-SAL) and Timing of event (C-SAT) with CAI algorithm
  • Stress Area Localization (B-SAL) and Timing of event (B-SAT) with BBD algorithm
For case studies in which no damages or floods are observed we only give an indication if a false alarm is given by different indeces.
Below the figures a detailed comment about the peculiarities of the case study is reported.

In this link, we reported how the Indices are calculated.

CS01 - Umbria 11st-12nd November 2013 - Tevere, Chiascio and Topino Floods
Heavy rainfall began late on Sunday, 10th November and caused severe floods and landslides across the western side of the Umbria Region and the eastern side of Umbria Region.

Case Study OBS
24h Cumulated
Rain Map		 CAI Map BDD Map BDD SOMMARIZED EVENT Map CAI SOMMARIZED EVENT Map
Nr 01
Area Umbria Region
Date 11st-12nd November 2013
Comparison prediction/observation and available documentation
DOC0101 Case Study Analysis
DOC0102 CAI animation
DOC0103 BDD animation
DOC0104 CS04_umbria.kmz
DOC0105 COPERNICUS Emergency Management Service
DOC0106 Umbria CFD Report
DOC0107 Civil Protection Press Review 11st November 2013
DOC0108 Civil Protection Press Review 12nd November 2013
DOC0109 Civil Protection Press Review 13th November 2013
Example of comparison between predicted/observed time series. Here the complete analysis Summary of BDD performances
Localization Timing
A 0.88LTP-0.58
POD0.69TPI-0.04
FAR 0.49TMI-1.25
DDTV0.02

CS02 - Marche 11st-12nd November 2013 - Foglia, Misa and Esino Floods
Heavy rainfall began late on Sunday, 10th November and caused severe floods and landslides across the western side of the Marche Region and the eastern side of Umbria Region.

Case Study OBS
Cumulated
Rain Map		 CAI Map BDD Map BDD Sommarized event Map CAI Sommarized event Map
Nr 02
Area Marche Region
Date 11st November 2013
Comparison prediction/observation and available documentation
DOC0201 Case Study Analysis
DOC0202 CAI animation
DOC0203 BDD animation
DOC0204 CS04_Marche.kmz
DOC0205 Marche Region Report
DOC0206 Civil Protection Press Review 11th November 2013
DOC0207 Civil Protection Press Review 12th November 2013
DOC0208 Civil Protection Press Review 13th November 2013
DOC0209 POLARIS - IRPI - CNR
Example of comparison between predicted/observed time series. Here the complete analysis Summary of BDD performances
Localization Timing
A 0.85LTP0.43
POD0.69TPI0.04
FAR 0.57TMI-1.4
DDTV0.04

CS03 - Abruzzo 11st-12nd November 2013 - Pescara, Vomano and Tordino Floods
Heavy rainfall began late on Sunday, 10th November and caused severe floods and landslides across the North-Estern side of the Abruzzo Region.

Case Study OBS
Cumulated
Rain Map		 CAI Map BDD Map BDD SOMMARIZED EVENT Map CAI SOMMARIZED EVENT Map
Nr 03
Area Abruzzo Region
Date 12nd November 2013
Comparison prediction/observation and available documentation
DOC0301 Case Study Analysis
DOC0302 CAI animation
DOC0303 BDD animation
DOC0304 CS04_abruzzo.kmz
DOC0305 Civil Protection Press Review 11st November 2013
DOC0306 Civil Protection Press Review 12nd November 2013
DOC0307 Civil Protection Press Review 13th November 2013
Example of comparison between predicted/observed time series. Here the complete analysis Summary of BDD performances
Localization Timing
A 0.91LTP-8.06
POD0.81TPI-1.03
FAR 0.55TMI-3.58
DDTV0.09

CS04 - Emilia Romagna Region - 14th September, 2015 - Nure and Trebbia River Floods
Heavy rainfall began to fall over the Liguria Region early on Sunday 13th September, and then extended onto the Emilia Romagna Region on Monday. The intense rains immediately caused severe floods and landslides in the province of Piacenza. Hundreds people have been immediately evacuated from the areas alongside the two main rivers of Nure and Trebbia. Two casualties have been reported and one person is missing.

Case Study OBS
24h Cumulated
Rain Map		 CAI Map BDD Map BDD SOMMARIZED EVENT Map CAI SOMMARIZED EVENT Map
Nr 04
Area Emilia Romagna Region
Date 14th September 2015
Comparison prediction/observation and available documentation
DOC0401 Case Study Analysis
DOC0402 CAI animation
DOC0403 BDD animation
DOC0404 CS04_EmiliaRomagna.kmz
DOC0405 COPERNICUS Emergency Management Service
DOC0406 ARPAE Report
DOC0407 Civil Protection Press Review 14th September 2015
DOC0408 Civil Protection Press Review 15th September 2015
DOC0409 POLARIS - IRPI - CNR
Example of comparison between predicted/observed time series. Here the complete analysis Summary of BDD performances
Localization Timing
A LTP
PODTPI
FAR TMI
DDTV

CS05 - Abruzzo 15th-16th November 2017 - Pescara, Vomano and Tordino Floods
Heavy rainfall began late on Sunday, 10th November and caused severe floods and landslides across the North-Estern side of the Abruzzo Region.

Case Study OBS
Cumulated
Rain Map		 CAI Map BDD Map BDD SOMMARIZED EVENT Map CAI SOMMARIZED EVENT Map
Nr 05
Area Abruzzo Region
Date 15th-16th November 2017
Comparison prediction/observation and available documentation
DOC0501 Case Study Analysis
DOC0502 CAI animation
DOC0503 BDD animation
DOC0504 CS04_abruzzo.kmz
DOC0505 Civil Protection Press Review 11st November 2017
DOC0506 Civil Protection Press Review 12nd November 2017
DOC0507 Civil Protection Press Review 13th November 2017
Example of comparison between predicted/observed time series. Here the complete analysis Summary of BDD performances
Localization Timing
A LTP
PODTPI
FAR TMI
DDTV

CS06 - Liguria Region - 17th-19th January, 2014
Heavy rainfall caused severe floods and landslides in the whole territory of the Liguria region. Quickly the event involved also the Emilia Romagna Region causing an extended flooded area.

Case Study OBS
24h Cumulated
Rain Map		 CAI Map BDD Map SOMMARIZED EVENT Map BDD+Hydrometric Station distibution Map
Nr 06
Area Liguria Region
Date January 17th-19th, 2014

Comparison prediction/observation and available documentation
DOC0601 Case Study Analysis
DOC0602 CAI animation
DOC0603 BDD animation
DOC0604 CS06_Liguria.kmz
DOC0605 ARPAL Report
DOC0606 CFL Report
DOC0607 ARPAL-CFL Report
DOC0608 POLARIS - IRPI - CNR
Example of comparison between predicted/observed time series. Here the complete analysis Summary of BDD performances
Localization Timing
A LTP
PODTPI
FAR TMI
DDTV

CS07 - Campania Region - 14th-15th October, 2015 - Volturno - Calore Basins
The heavy rainfall began early on Wendesday, 14th October involving in particular the basin of Calore river in Campania Region. The intense rains immediately caused severe floods and landslides in the provinces of Benevento and Caserta. A lot of people have been involved and several damages occurred in particular to the transportation network. In the next hours the flood wave of Volturno river is expected, involving probably Capua village and the others villages along the river.

Case Study OBS
24h Cumulated
Rain Map		 CAI Map BDD Map SOMMARIZED EVENT Map BDD and Hydrometric Station distribution Map
Nr 07
Area Campania Region
Date 14th-15th October, 2015

Comparison prediction/observation and available documentation
DOC0701 Case Study Analysis
DOC0702 CAI animation
DOC0703 BDD animation
DOC0704 CS07_Campania.kmz
DOC0705 COPERNICUS Emergency Management Service
  • DOC0706 EMSR141 - Activation Extent Map
  • DOC0707 Benevento Grading Map produced by EMS
  • DOC0708 Telese Grading Map produced by EMS
  • DOC0709 Castelvolturno Grading Map produced by EMS
DOC0710 POLARIS - IRPI - CNR
Example of comparison between predicted/observed time series. Here the complete analysis Summary of BDD performances
Localization Timing
A LTP
PODTPI
FAR TMI
DDTV
HTML code automatically generated using "CFA2web" software version 1.0 developped by Cetemps Hydrology Group This document has been updated on 12nd November, 2017 h: 12:05